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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.22+5.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.55vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+4.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+5.47vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+1.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.82-1.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.16-0.35vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07-1.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.40vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08+3.56vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.10-0.61vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.28-5.81vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.75-4.86vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.94-6.53vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.84-0.17vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.73-4.50vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-2.49-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.262.220.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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7.8Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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4.72Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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13.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.39Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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14.83Maine Maritime Academy-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.5McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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16.64Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| David Perez | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 29.8% | 23.5% | 3.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Egger | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 16.8% | 47.7% | 13.6% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 10.8% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.