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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.62vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.21+0.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.10vs Predicted
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4Fordham University-0.32+1.61vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.72vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.44-1.89vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97-0.22vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Pennsylvania1.1616.7%1st Place
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2.83Cornell University1.2125.9%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2913.5%1st Place
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5.61Fordham University-0.324.8%1st Place
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3.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9219.6%1st Place
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4.11Columbia University0.4412.8%1st Place
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6.78Princeton University-0.972.2%1st Place
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5.68SUNY Maritime College-0.524.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 16.7% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Gilda Dondona | 25.9% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 26.6% | 17.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 19.6% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 54.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 24.7% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.