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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+1.91vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.50+1.96vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.56+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.40+1.88vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.24vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10+1.25vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.67-0.46vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36-2.57vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.03-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91University of Vermont1.0627.7%1st Place
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3.96Northeastern University0.5014.5%1st Place
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3.59Boston University0.5617.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Vermont-0.405.3%1st Place
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4.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.039.3%1st Place
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7.25Bentley University-1.102.4%1st Place
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6.54Bates College-0.674.8%1st Place
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5.43McGill University-0.367.6%1st Place
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4.69Middlebury College0.0311.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 27.7% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 14.5% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 17.0% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| William Gear | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 13.8% |
| Luke Kenahan | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 20.3% | 40.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 25.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 9.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.