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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+6.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.82+2.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16+3.65vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+5.29vs Predicted
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52.22+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+0.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.37vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.28-1.91vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.34+0.66vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.10+0.21vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-3.91vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.73-0.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.75-4.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-6.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08-1.58vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.84-1.05vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-2.49-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.46Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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6.282.220.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.09Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.41McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.94Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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13.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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14.95Maine Maritime Academy-0.840.0%1st Place
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16.64Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 16.8% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 28.1% | 24.1% | 3.7% |
| John Egger | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 17.5% | 48.8% | 13.4% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 12.1% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.