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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.09+5.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+4.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.36+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+0.16vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+3.48vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31-0.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.72vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.13+1.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.70vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16-0.69vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.82-0.35vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.35-3.34vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.26-0.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.42-2.00vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.74vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.55-7.97vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.56-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.32Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University1.130.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.65McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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12.44Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.420.0%1st Place
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13.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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16.11Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Tobin | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 18.7% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Hal Clews | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 7.2% |
| Leonora Krajewski | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 4.4% |
| Seth Pardi | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 11.3% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 11.2% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.