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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+1.86vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.56+1.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.40+1.85vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.36+0.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.50-2.05vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.03-2.21vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.67-1.44vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.10-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Vermont1.0628.3%1st Place
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3.51Boston University0.5618.1%1st Place
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4.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.039.6%1st Place
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5.85University of Vermont-0.406.0%1st Place
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5.54McGill University-0.366.8%1st Place
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3.95Northeastern University0.5014.4%1st Place
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4.79Middlebury College0.039.3%1st Place
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6.56Bates College-0.674.2%1st Place
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7.13Bentley University-1.103.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 28.3% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 18.1% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Luke Kenahan | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| William Gear | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 12.6% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Carter Anderson | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 25.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.