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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.88+5.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.09+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.35+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+0.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.31+0.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.42+5.93vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+1.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.94-1.58vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-2.70vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16-0.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.13-1.53vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-4.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.45vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.82-3.41vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.26-2.72vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.56+0.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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5.23Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.420.0%1st Place
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8.55Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.22Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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10.59McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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12.28Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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16.04Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
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13.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severin Gramm | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 19.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 13.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leonora Krajewski | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 4.4% |
| Caroline King | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Woodcock | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Hal Clews | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 7.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 11.7% | 71.2% |
| Seth Pardi | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 27.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.