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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.09+4.90vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+8.33vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+5.45vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.16+5.31vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80-1.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.13+2.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55-0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.35-0.19vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.88-3.37vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.94-4.32vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.31-6.62vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-2.38vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.42-2.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.74vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.26-3.63vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.56-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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8.45Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.62McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.420.0%1st Place
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13.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.37Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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16.09Fairfield University-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Tobin | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Caroline King | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| George Higham | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 18.0% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Skye Shepherd | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Severin Gramm | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hal Clews | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Leonora Krajewski | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 4.1% |
| Seth Pardi | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 27.0% | 11.7% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 6.2% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 11.6% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.