Race 1A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Clancy 16.9% 15.3% 12.9% 15.4% 12.1% 9.3% 7.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Wells Bacon 6.9% 7.5% 9.2% 8.8% 11.0% 9.6% 11.4% 11.0% 10.2% 7.5% 4.6% 2.3%
Weston Barlow 8.2% 7.4% 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 10.6% 9.8% 12.2% 9.0% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3%
Nikolas Osvalds 10.3% 11.6% 11.6% 12.7% 11.3% 12.0% 8.6% 6.8% 6.7% 5.2% 2.6% 0.6%
Massimo Soriano 15.0% 13.8% 15.9% 11.6% 12.1% 9.8% 6.7% 6.2% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Christopher Poole 5.3% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 7.1% 9.4% 11.4% 11.7% 10.8% 12.0% 6.4% 3.5%
Peter Pellegrini 19.8% 17.8% 16.0% 11.4% 10.6% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Ryan White 6.3% 6.0% 6.7% 7.3% 8.4% 7.8% 11.4% 9.6% 11.9% 11.4% 8.2% 5.0%
Jared Dunn 1.1% 1.6% 0.9% 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 3.2% 4.9% 6.7% 10.8% 17.8% 46.6%
Nicholas Dragone 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.0% 3.5% 4.7% 6.5% 8.5% 9.4% 12.2% 23.4% 20.4%
Sarah Fiske 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 8.8% 10.8% 12.0% 14.0% 14.2% 9.0%
Tevis Nichols 3.9% 4.5% 2.5% 5.6% 5.0% 8.3% 8.1% 9.9% 11.7% 14.0% 15.9% 10.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.