Race 1A

tufts-september-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lera Anders 10.7% 11.5% 11.2% 11.6% 16.7% 13.0% 12.4% 9.4% 3.5%
Allison DeLuca 5.2% 6.0% 8.9% 12.1% 11.6% 15.9% 15.2% 15.5% 9.6%
William George 18.1% 17.5% 16.8% 13.9% 13.6% 9.2% 7.3% 2.9% 0.7%
Paul Kuechler 6.9% 6.9% 8.9% 10.9% 10.8% 14.6% 15.8% 15.9% 9.3%
Charlotte Lenz 17.2% 18.8% 13.8% 13.7% 11.4% 10.4% 9.1% 4.1% 1.5%
Christophe Chaumont 18.0% 17.9% 18.0% 14.2% 11.5% 10.7% 6.0% 3.0% 0.7%
Ryan Palardy 17.3% 14.9% 16.3% 15.4% 13.0% 11.5% 7.0% 3.6% 1.0%
Brian Kiley 3.6% 4.5% 2.7% 4.7% 7.1% 8.4% 14.6% 23.7% 30.7%
Thomas Jagielski 3.0% 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 4.3% 6.3% 12.6% 21.9% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.