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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.67+2.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.14+2.84vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.75+2.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69-0.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52-1.18vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.65-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.57-3.19vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.58vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.09-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.46Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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3.52Brown University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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7.42Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.94Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 19.3% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Lera Anders | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Allison DeLuca | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| William George | 19.6% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 17.7% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Palardy | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 20.8% | 45.2% |
| Brian Kiley | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 24.8% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.