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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.67+2.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+1.76vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.75+2.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52-0.19vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.14-0.46vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.65-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.57-3.19vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.09-1.00vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.690.2%1st Place
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5.49Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.54Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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7.0Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.39Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 19.6% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| William George | 15.5% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 17.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Lera Anders | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Ryan Palardy | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Brian Kiley | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 26.7% | 30.6% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 21.3% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.