← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.52+2.95vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.75+3.64vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.67+0.64vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.69-0.49vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University-0.09+1.83vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University0.65-0.40vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.57-3.24vs Predicted
-
8Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.59vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.14-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.95Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
-
5.64Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
-
3.64Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
-
3.51Brown University1.690.2%1st Place
-
6.83Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
5.6Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
-
3.76University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
-
7.41Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.66Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Lenz | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Allison DeLuca | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 10.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 19.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| William George | 19.2% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Brian Kiley | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 23.5% | 29.9% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 8.3% |
| Ryan Palardy | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 21.1% | 44.5% |
| Lera Anders | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.