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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.14+3.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.57+0.82vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52-0.19vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69-1.49vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.75-0.62vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.65-2.33vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.59vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.09-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.78Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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3.51Brown University1.690.2%1st Place
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5.38Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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7.41Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.99Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 13.7% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Palardy | 17.3% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 16.6% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| William George | 20.6% | 20.7% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Allison DeLuca | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 44.6% |
| Brian Kiley | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 26.1% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.