Race 2A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Pellegrini 18.7% 16.2% 14.7% 13.0% 11.1% 9.4% 7.0% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Wells Bacon 6.6% 9.2% 7.9% 9.6% 9.4% 10.4% 10.8% 11.0% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 1.3%
Massimo Soriano 15.7% 12.8% 14.9% 11.4% 11.2% 11.2% 9.3% 6.8% 3.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Weston Barlow 6.7% 8.2% 9.1% 10.3% 10.4% 10.0% 10.4% 10.2% 8.9% 7.9% 6.6% 1.3%
Nikolas Osvalds 10.6% 12.4% 12.9% 10.6% 9.3% 11.3% 9.9% 8.5% 5.3% 5.6% 2.9% 0.7%
Patrick Clancy 17.8% 15.8% 13.9% 13.2% 11.6% 8.9% 7.3% 5.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Christopher Poole 6.8% 6.9% 7.8% 6.4% 9.7% 8.4% 10.7% 10.9% 11.6% 9.7% 7.8% 3.3%
Sarah Fiske 4.9% 5.3% 4.6% 6.4% 5.7% 6.8% 8.3% 10.8% 11.7% 14.0% 13.9% 7.6%
Ryan White 5.2% 4.9% 6.9% 8.5% 9.9% 9.2% 10.4% 9.6% 12.7% 10.6% 8.6% 3.5%
Jared Dunn 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 3.5% 4.6% 7.0% 9.8% 14.8% 48.9%
Nicholas Dragone 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 3.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.3% 6.5% 10.0% 14.9% 21.3% 23.3%
Tevis Nichols 3.7% 4.3% 3.3% 4.6% 5.0% 8.3% 7.1% 11.2% 12.5% 14.4% 15.8% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.