← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.14+3.65vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.69+1.75vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.67+0.63vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.57-0.30vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.52-1.17vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.75-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University0.65-1.33vs Predicted
-
9Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.59vs Predicted
-
10Bentley University-0.09-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.65Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
-
3.75Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.63Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
-
3.7University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
-
3.83Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
-
5.38Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
-
5.67Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
-
7.41Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.98Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| William George | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 18.6% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Palardy | 18.3% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 16.7% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 9.9% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 21.5% | 44.5% |
| Brian Kiley | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 26.3% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.