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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+2.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+1.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.14+1.68vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.65+1.58vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.75+0.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52-2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.57-3.20vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.61vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.09-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Brown University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.79Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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5.29Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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7.39Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.96Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 20.1% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 15.9% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Lera Anders | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 10.1% |
| Allison DeLuca | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 15.9% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Palardy | 17.0% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 21.5% | 43.9% |
| Brian Kiley | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 24.6% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.