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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+2.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+1.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.14+1.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.57-1.28vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.65-0.42vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.09-0.98vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.75-4.61vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.37-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Brown University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.79Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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3.72University of Rhode Island1.570.2%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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7.02Bentley University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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7.42Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 19.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 13.5% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Lera Anders | 11.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 16.9% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Palardy | 18.6% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% |
| Brian Kiley | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 26.4% | 29.7% |
| Allison DeLuca | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 21.6% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.