Race 3A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Wells Bacon 7.3% 7.9% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 11.0% 10.7% 11.6% 9.8% 8.1% 5.5% 2.6%
Patrick Clancy 15.4% 17.6% 14.8% 14.2% 11.3% 8.4% 8.7% 4.7% 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 12.0% 9.7% 11.9% 10.2% 12.7% 10.9% 10.4% 9.2% 6.1% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
Peter Pellegrini 18.6% 16.3% 14.3% 14.3% 11.0% 9.8% 6.0% 5.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Massimo Soriano 15.5% 15.2% 13.9% 11.9% 11.1% 9.2% 8.2% 5.8% 4.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Christopher Poole 6.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.8% 7.7% 9.6% 11.6% 12.1% 11.0% 10.2% 7.4% 3.5%
Weston Barlow 8.5% 8.6% 9.9% 10.4% 8.4% 10.4% 9.2% 10.4% 9.7% 7.8% 4.7% 2.0%
Tevis Nichols 4.6% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.2% 9.3% 12.0% 16.6% 14.2% 9.3%
Ryan White 4.6% 5.6% 7.0% 7.5% 9.6% 8.8% 11.7% 11.0% 12.3% 10.2% 8.4% 3.3%
Nicholas Dragone 2.8% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 3.0% 5.2% 6.2% 6.8% 11.0% 11.6% 22.0% 22.1%
Sarah Fiske 3.7% 3.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.1% 8.1% 11.3% 11.8% 13.7% 15.6% 8.2%
Jared Dunn 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% 2.6% 2.1% 3.0% 2.0% 2.8% 6.5% 10.9% 18.0% 48.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.