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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.06+0.87vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.01-0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Georgia-0.96+2.47vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.11+0.06vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.08-0.90vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.66-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-0.36vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.05-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87College of Charleston2.060.4%1st Place
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1.94North Carolina State University2.010.4%1st Place
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5.47University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.06University of North Carolina0.110.1%1st Place
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4.1Georgia Institute of Technology0.080.1%1st Place
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5.08Clemson University-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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6.84Wake Forest University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Howard | 43.2% | 35.0% | 15.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 38.8% | 37.2% | 16.7% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Heckler | 2.2% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 20.7% | 10.3% |
| Matthew Chenard | 5.6% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 27.4% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Honeycutt | 5.3% | 8.3% | 23.3% | 23.5% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Brandon Westerfield | 3.0% | 3.9% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
| Drew Davey | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 27.7% | 38.1% |
| Cameron Sechrist | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 28.0% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.