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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+6.19vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.82+8.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.34vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.51+6.56vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.55+1.92vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.32+5.09vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.25+4.09vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-2.91vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.27vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-3.70vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-5.65vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-7.90vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.61vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-7.76vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.59-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.92Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.09Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.3Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.31University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 24.8% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 22.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.