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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.19vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+5.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+4.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32+7.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.59+5.26vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+3.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.15vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-1.94vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-3.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-5.85vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.25+0.18vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.55-5.17vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-2.65vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.20vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.26Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.31Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.1Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.26University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.15Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.18Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.83Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.35Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 21.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 15.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 24.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 14.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.