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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.06vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+4.11vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.34vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+1.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.05vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+0.42vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.25+4.14vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.59+1.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.06-4.94vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-1.59vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-5.76vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-2.64vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.55-7.04vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.11Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.31Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.34University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.24Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.36Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.96Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.17Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 13.9% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 23.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.