Race 4A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Pellegrini 17.9% 16.3% 14.4% 14.6% 10.7% 9.3% 7.0% 4.7% 2.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Wells Bacon 6.9% 8.2% 8.3% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 10.7% 10.7% 11.0% 8.1% 5.4% 1.6%
Nikolas Osvalds 12.3% 10.0% 11.1% 10.3% 12.2% 11.8% 10.3% 8.9% 7.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Patrick Clancy 16.6% 17.5% 14.4% 12.2% 12.7% 8.9% 6.8% 5.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Massimo Soriano 14.9% 16.2% 13.6% 12.0% 10.8% 9.7% 8.4% 4.7% 5.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Christopher Poole 6.0% 6.5% 7.9% 6.9% 7.0% 9.5% 11.7% 12.2% 10.7% 11.5% 6.4% 3.7%
Weston Barlow 8.6% 7.8% 10.3% 9.2% 10.6% 10.0% 9.3% 11.5% 8.3% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0%
Ryan White 6.6% 5.4% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 7.7% 12.3% 9.0% 11.8% 12.0% 8.3% 4.9%
Sarah Fiske 3.3% 4.3% 4.0% 6.4% 7.5% 9.4% 8.9% 10.4% 13.6% 12.3% 13.7% 6.2%
Nicholas Dragone 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 8.2% 9.8% 13.1% 21.7% 21.4%
Tevis Nichols 3.2% 3.4% 3.6% 6.2% 5.6% 6.5% 6.9% 10.5% 11.9% 13.8% 17.5% 10.9%
Jared Dunn 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 4.2% 5.0% 10.6% 18.1% 48.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.