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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59+8.21vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+4.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+1.41vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99-0.59vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+2.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.08vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.26vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-3.74vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.51-0.60vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-0.99vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-7.02vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.25-2.64vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.21University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.01Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.31Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.26Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.98Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.36Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 13.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 21.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 25.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.