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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+5.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.19vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+4.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+1.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.20vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.55+0.93vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.38vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+2.98vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.28vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.25+1.19vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-1.55vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-5.73vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-2.63vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-3.67vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.80-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.93Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.98Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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12.19Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.33University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 21.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 25.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.