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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+6.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+5.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.20vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+6.64vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+2.19vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+0.45vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.16vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.46vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-3.84vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51+0.37vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.59-0.77vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-2.58vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.25-1.87vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.55-6.99vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.19Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.45Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.13Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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8.01Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 14.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 15.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 23.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.