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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.88vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+4.90vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+3.45vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+2.36vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-2.91vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59+2.17vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.82+0.54vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-3.94vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.51-0.60vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-0.97vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.99-7.81vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.38vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.25-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.9Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.45Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.17University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.03Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.34Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 21.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.