Race 5A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Clancy 16.6% 16.1% 13.9% 13.1% 12.3% 10.7% 6.1% 5.2% 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Wells Bacon 6.7% 7.9% 9.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% 10.5% 12.2% 10.4% 7.0% 5.4% 1.7%
Peter Pellegrini 19.4% 16.3% 16.2% 10.8% 13.0% 9.2% 6.4% 4.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 9.8% 12.0% 10.8% 13.6% 11.4% 10.6% 10.2% 6.6% 6.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.8%
Massimo Soriano 14.5% 16.4% 13.8% 11.2% 10.9% 10.6% 8.1% 5.4% 4.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Christopher Poole 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 11.9% 12.7% 12.3% 9.1% 6.6% 4.1%
Weston Barlow 8.6% 8.0% 10.1% 9.8% 8.9% 10.4% 10.1% 10.5% 8.7% 8.6% 4.3% 2.0%
Ryan White 7.1% 5.0% 6.6% 8.3% 6.8% 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 11.9% 11.4% 8.1% 5.0%
Nicholas Dragone 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.9% 4.9% 7.3% 8.3% 10.3% 13.3% 23.0% 19.1%
Tevis Nichols 4.5% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 6.0% 7.1% 6.8% 10.1% 11.8% 16.0% 14.4% 9.8%
Sarah Fiske 3.7% 3.5% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 9.1% 9.9% 10.5% 14.3% 15.1% 9.2%
Jared Dunn 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 4.1% 6.3% 8.7% 18.8% 48.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.