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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.16vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.03vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.82+7.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.13vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+2.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.68vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.71vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.32+3.99vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-3.89vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.55-2.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-3.73vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-4.63vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-2.91vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-3.39vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.25-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.44Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.91Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.37Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.09University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.61Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 22.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.