← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.64+8.08vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.49+4.19vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.94+5.20vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+4.79vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.38-1.29vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.66vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.03+4.37vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University2.16-0.67vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.50-2.76vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.30-3.01vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.40+2.08vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.56-5.92vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.33-2.66vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.79-5.36vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College0.85-2.99vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University1.38-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.08Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
-
6.19Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
8.2University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
-
8.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
-
3.71Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
11.37Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
-
7.33Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.24Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.99Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
13.08Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.08U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
10.34Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
8.64Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
-
12.01Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.29Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.7% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 14.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 38.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 19.4% |
| Camille White | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.