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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.64+8.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.49+2.41vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+3.65vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.03+5.41vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94+1.34vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.52vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.50-2.80vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.40+3.19vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-2.29vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.38-1.82vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.16-5.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.56-8.07vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.33-4.54vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.85-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.69Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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11.41Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.34University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.2Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.19Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.18Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.44Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.0Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.1% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 15.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 38.5% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Camille White | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.