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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.62vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+4.19vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.64+6.32vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+2.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+3.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.13vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.73vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.94-0.88vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+2.00vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-3.56vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.38-1.86vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.33-2.72vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-5.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-1.76vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.03-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.38Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.12University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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12.0Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.44Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.28Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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13.24Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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11.45Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 24.6% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Camille White | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 37.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.