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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+5.14vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+5.36vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.94vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+4.34vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.64+4.28vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+5.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+0.60vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.38+1.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.31vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.03+0.29vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-3.33vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.49-6.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-10.39vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-1.77vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.33-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.36Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.34University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.92Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.12Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.29Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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3.61Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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13.23Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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10.45Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Camille White | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Bridget Lawless | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 24.5% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 39.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.