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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.68vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.03+7.43vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.64+4.26vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+2.72vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16+0.56vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.85+3.78vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.47vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-2.79vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.33-1.63vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.38-2.93vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.49-7.85vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-6.12vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.40-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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3.68Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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11.43Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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7.56Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.78Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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6.32Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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13.27Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.1% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 18.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Camille White | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.