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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.82vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.64+7.18vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+3.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.94+3.23vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-2.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.49-0.64vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16-0.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.40+4.11vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.38+0.23vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-2.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-3.25vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.46vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-3.74vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.03-3.52vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.85-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.24Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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3.75Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.26Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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13.11Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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10.23Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.48Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.05Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.1% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 36.4% |
| Camille White | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 13.7% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.