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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.65vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.64+7.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.55+6.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.17vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+3.72vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.33+4.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.83vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16-0.67vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.50-2.75vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85+2.12vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-2.71vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.03-0.55vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.38-2.80vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.30-7.22vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.49-8.65vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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10.59Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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7.33Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.25Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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11.45Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.2Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 23.0% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Carina Becker | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 10.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 21.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 19.5% |
| Camille White | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.