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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.49+5.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.74vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+3.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56+1.15vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.55+3.75vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85+5.09vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50-1.89vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33+1.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.11+1.29vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-2.73vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-3.27vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.35vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.03-2.69vs Predicted
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15Stanford University1.38-4.60vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.64-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.74Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.65Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.09Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.36Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.29Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.31Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.4Stanford University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.42Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.4% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carina Becker | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 26.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| Camille White | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.