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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+3.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.55+5.98vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.81+3.87vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+2.89vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-3.16vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+0.24vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.11+2.21vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.03+1.63vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.24vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-2.53vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.85-0.90vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.16-6.52vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.33-4.31vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.50-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.87Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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3.84Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.24University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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11.63Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.1Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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7.48Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.43Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Carina Becker | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| AnaClare Sole | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Lawless | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.4% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 25.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.