Race 6A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Wells Bacon 7.1% 7.7% 7.3% 9.4% 8.9% 11.1% 12.2% 11.4% 8.9% 8.9% 5.1% 2.0%
Christopher Poole 5.5% 5.9% 7.9% 8.4% 8.4% 8.3% 10.4% 10.8% 11.5% 12.2% 7.3% 3.4%
Nikolas Osvalds 12.3% 9.0% 11.5% 11.7% 11.1% 10.3% 11.6% 9.1% 6.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Patrick Clancy 15.8% 18.4% 14.1% 13.7% 11.2% 9.4% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Massimo Soriano 14.5% 16.9% 13.6% 11.1% 12.0% 10.0% 6.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Peter Pellegrini 19.5% 15.2% 16.6% 12.2% 10.6% 9.6% 6.7% 4.2% 3.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Weston Barlow 8.4% 8.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.9% 9.9% 10.0% 10.8% 9.5% 7.0% 4.6% 2.2%
Sarah Fiske 4.3% 5.5% 4.1% 6.3% 6.7% 7.3% 8.1% 10.7% 10.9% 14.2% 14.3% 7.6%
Ryan White 4.7% 5.1% 7.2% 8.3% 9.9% 9.0% 10.8% 10.1% 13.4% 10.4% 8.0% 3.1%
Tevis Nichols 4.2% 4.4% 4.1% 5.2% 5.6% 7.3% 8.3% 9.6% 13.3% 12.6% 15.3% 10.1%
Nicholas Dragone 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.4% 3.8% 4.9% 6.1% 7.3% 9.4% 13.9% 23.1% 22.5%
Jared Dunn 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 4.2% 5.9% 10.0% 18.7% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.