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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.64+8.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.17vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+3.85vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+1.70vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.11+4.33vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49-1.74vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33+1.51vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-3.55vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-2.62vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.81-3.13vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.25vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-4.29vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.03-3.29vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.85-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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3.83Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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7.7Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.45Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.38University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.87Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.71Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.27Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Pajak | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 17.7% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| AnaClare Sole | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Carina Becker | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.