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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.67vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.81+5.71vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+4.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+4.82vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49+0.34vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+0.07vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-0.54vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.16-1.60vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64-0.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.11+0.19vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.35vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.03-1.53vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.85-2.01vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-6.15vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.33-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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3.67Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University1.810.1%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.4Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.43Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.19Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.47Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.99Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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10.59Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.2% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaClare Sole | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Carina Becker | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 17.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 25.0% |
| Bridget Lawless | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.