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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.49+5.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.81+5.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+4.74vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94+1.36vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16-0.65vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64-0.54vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.35vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.03-0.51vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82-4.32vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.11-2.87vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.33-4.44vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.85-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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3.71Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.73Stanford University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.35Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.65Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.49Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.56Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.17Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.7% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnaClare Sole | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Carina Becker | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 20.6% |
| Bridget Lawless | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 15.7% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 9.9% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.