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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.03vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.96vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+3.56vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+1.27vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.03+5.39vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+0.09vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.81-0.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55-0.30vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.49-4.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.37vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.85-1.07vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.40-0.84vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.64-5.57vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.33-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.56Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.27Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.39Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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8.09University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
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9.7Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.93Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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13.16Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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9.43Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.52Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 22.7% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Daisy Holthus | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 14.6% |
| Bridget Lawless | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| AnaClare Sole | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Carina Becker | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 21.0% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 37.6% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.