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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.03vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+3.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+3.10vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.64+4.32vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.81+2.77vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+1.79vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49-1.85vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+2.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55-0.27vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-3.47vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.03-0.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.40+0.19vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-3.70vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.94-6.69vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.29Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.77Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.1%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.87Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.53Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.33Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.19Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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10.3Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.31University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 23.1% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| AnaClare Sole | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Lawless | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| Carina Becker | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 18.1% | 37.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.