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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+5.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+3.29vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+2.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.67vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.82+2.76vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94+0.10vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.81-0.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64-0.66vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.85+0.87vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-2.41vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.40+0.18vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.03-2.63vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.33-4.47vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.30-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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3.7Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.4Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.820.0%1st Place
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7.54Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University1.810.0%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.87Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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13.18Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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11.37Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.53Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.3% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Lawless | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| AnaClare Sole | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| Carina Becker | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 36.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 7.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.