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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+7.51vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.45vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.64vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03+4.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.40vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04+1.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.03-1.28vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.17-2.89vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35-4.28vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.35-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.67-1.50vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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3.45Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.5Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.11College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.93Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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11.3Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Nothacker | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 24.5% | 22.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Grace Howie | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
| Leah Harper | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 39.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.