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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+2.88vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+4.98vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+4.52vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.15vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-1.58vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.03-1.31vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.48vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03-3.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.16vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.67-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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4.88Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.98College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.79Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.69Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.52George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 24.5% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Grace Howie | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Emily Haig | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 21.3% |
| Leah Harper | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.