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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+5.34vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.03+5.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+1.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.38vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.35+3.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.67+1.69vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.03-3.99vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-5.25vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.17-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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5.12Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.92Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 23.6% | 21.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 17.8% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Leah Harper | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 47.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.