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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.63vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+5.35vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03+4.74vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.35+5.98vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+2.86vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03-0.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.09vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-2.18vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.17-3.44vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-5.24vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.67-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.98Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 23.3% | 21.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 19.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Emily Haig | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Leah Harper | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.